Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.149389 0.159639 0.170326 0.182322 0.195432 0.209349 0.225274
2025-12-28 0.130300 0.145135 0.161459 0.180842 0.203341 0.228769 0.259871
2026-01-04 0.121068 0.138625 0.158658 0.183383 0.213323 0.248719 0.294204
2026-01-11 0.112424 0.131485 0.153851 0.182308 0.217953 0.261666 0.320182
2026-01-18 0.104956 0.124913 0.148880 0.180164 0.220493 0.271538 0.342369
2026-01-25 0.098370 0.118830 0.143894 0.177341 0.221559 0.279118 0.361615
2026-02-01 0.095448 0.117029 0.144000 0.180810 0.230746 0.297670 0.396916
2026-02-08 0.090747 0.112622 0.140411 0.179046 0.232600 0.306159 0.418472
2026-02-15 0.087236 0.109522 0.138280 0.178985 0.236603 0.317680 0.445121
2026-02-22 0.082862 0.105038 0.134030 0.175689 0.235719 0.321959 0.460976
2026-03-01 0.079806 0.102149 0.131749 0.174936 0.238316 0.331338 0.485290
2026-03-08 0.077489 0.100134 0.130528 0.175554 0.242851 0.343784 0.515390
2026-03-15 0.074132 0.096587 0.127068 0.172825 0.242320 0.348562 0.533599
2026-03-22 0.071456 0.093878 0.124665 0.171510 0.243840 0.356631 0.558088
2026-03-29 0.070124 0.092982 0.124771 0.173880 0.251127 0.374338 0.600892
2026-04-05 0.067877 0.090686 0.122738 0.172877 0.252972 0.383165 0.628528
2026-04-12 0.065492 0.088093 0.120153 0.170875 0.253045 0.388945 0.650965
2026-04-19 0.063080 0.085370 0.117262 0.168239 0.251894 0.392486 0.669378
2026-04-26 0.062412 0.085167 0.118098 0.171478 0.260631 0.413796 0.724497
2026-05-03 0.060494 0.083042 0.115947 0.169831 0.260989 0.420167 0.750261
2026-05-10 0.059090 0.081632 0.114824 0.169773 0.264039 0.431581 0.787547
2026-05-17 0.057010 0.079138 0.111939 0.166695 0.261630 0.432672 0.802967
2026-05-24 0.055615 0.077634 0.110534 0.165992 0.263356 0.441629 0.836363